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The NFL announced the rosters for the 2017 Pro Bowl on Tuesday. Looking over the rosters, there were a lot of familiar faces. We look at the numbers behind the rosters.
Note: The Rivals era began with the 2002 class. The rankings used in this study were the last rankings a player received. If a player went to a junior college or a prep school, those rankings were used, not their high school ranking.
46-percent - Highly ranked recruits
Forty six-percent of Pro Bowlers, excluding pre-Rivals-era players, were ranked as four-star prospects or higher. That percentage goes up to 48 percent when special teams Pro Bowlers are excluded. In total, 36 Pro Bowlers were four- or five-star prospects – 11 five-stars and 25 four-stars.
And while the 54 percent of the Pro Bowlers were rated three-stars or below, keep in mind that since Rivals began ranking players in 2002, over 90 percent of prospects fall into this category. To round off the numbers, there were about 51,000 prospects ranked three-stars or below and 4,680 ranked four-stars and above. So the 42 players ranked three-stars or below had a less than 1 in 10,000 chance to reach the Pro Bowl, while the highest ranked players had a 1 in 250 chance. So while seeing a decent amount of ‘under-ranked’ players reach the Pro Bowl may lead some to conclude rankings don’t matter when it comes to achieving greatness, further analysis shows otherwise.
25 - SEC leads the way
The SEC leads the way with 25 former players in the 2017 Pro Bowl. That’s more than the second (Big 12) and third place (Big Ten) conferences combined. In fact, the Big 12 and Big Ten both have 12 players in the Pro Bowl while the ACC and Pac-12 each have 11. Alabama (6) and Florida (4) have the most alumni in the game. In a seven-way tie for third, Florida State, California, Georgia, Oklahoma, Pittsburgh, Texas A&M and USC each have three.
3 - Florida, California and Texas dominate
Florida, California and Texas, the big three football states, have the most players in the Pro Bowl. Florida and California are tied at the top of the list with 13 players calling those states home. Texas is next with 10, followed by Georgia with seven. Ohio and Pennsylvania sit at fifth with five.
9 - Former Prep and JUCO stars
The prep school or junior college routes are becoming more and more common for players these days and the Pro Bowl features nine that played at those levels. LeSean McCoy played at New Berlin (N.Y.) Milford Academy prior to starring at Pittsburgh. Antonio Brown went to prep school at North Carolina Tech before going up to Central Michigan. One of the most famous former junior college prospects is Aaron Rodgers. The face of Green Bay’s franchise played at Oroville (Calif.) Butte Community College before grabbing the country’s attention at California.