Published Feb 6, 2018
Three-Point Stance: 30 NSD commitment predictions
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Mike Farrell  •  Rivals.com
Rivals National Columnist

Rivals.com National Recruiting Director Mike Farrell’s Three-Point Stance is here with 30 commitment predictions as we head towards National Signing Day.

CLASS OF '18 RANKINGS: Rivals250 | Team | State | Position | JUCO

NSD '18: Farrell predictions | Memories of the 2018 class | Announcement guide

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1. PREDICTING THE FIVE-STAR COMMITMENTS

Let’s start with the seven remaining uncommitted five-stars. These are the big boys.

DB Patrick SurtainLSU – The Tigers have been the leader, or assumed leader, for so long that I’ll go with the safe pick here. However, I would not be surprised at all if he chose Alabama.

OL Nick Petit-Frere Florida – Try to figure this one out. He could end up at Alabama, he could have fallen in love with Ohio State this past weekend or he could want the academics and recent offensive line tradition at Notre Dame. I’m going with the team he’s been linked to the most.

UPDATE: As of Tuesday afternoon sources are saying that Petit-Frere did in fact fall in love on his Ohio State visit and will end up there.

WR Justyn Ross AlabamaClemson was the assumed leader for the longest time but I’m going with Nick Saban and his staff. They rarely lose out on in-state five-stars that they covet.

DB Olaijah GriffinUSC – He’s flirted with others, especially in the SEC, but in the end he stays home and plays for the Trojans.

DB Tyson CampbellGeorgiaMiami and Alabama are the other threats here but this is close to a done deal with Georgia.

WR Jaylen WaddleTexas A&M – Alabama has been the assumed leader for a long time but the Aggies pull this one out in an upset.

DB Isaac Taylor-StuartUSC – Does USC have room for another defensive back? If they do, and I don’t think they’ll pass up on his potential, then he stays home.

2. RIVALS100 PREDICTIONS

And let’s now attack the rest of the uncommitted prospects in the Rivals100.

DT Rick Sandidge South Carolina – The Gamecocks have been the assumed leader for too long to think he picks anyone else.

ATH Devon Williams Oregon – USC has entered the fray in a big way here but Oregon was his leader under Willie Taggart and Mario Cristobal will keep him in the fold.

OL Penei SewellOregon – Alabama has been in the mix as have others, but in the end he picks Oregon.

OL Rasheed Walker Penn State – This is a tough one between Penn State and Ohio State and could go either way but I’ll go with the Nittany Lions, who have been his favorite the longest.

WR Ja’Marr Chase LSU – This one seems like a lock for the in-state Tigers.

QB Tanner McKeeStanford – He’s a couple years from playing but he plays at Stanford in the end.

OL William BarnesNorth Carolina – This one appeared to be all Gators before the staff change, but now the Heels will land the key offensive line target.

DT Michael ThompsonMissouri – Many feel this could be Oklahoma and no one really knows, but I am going to go with the local favorite here.

LB Solomon Tuliaupupu USC – This has long been the assumption and USC has made him a must-get target.

DB Mario Goodrich LSU – The former Nebraska commitment seems to be enamored with LSU and the DBU reputation but keep an eye on Clemson here.

3. RIVALS250 PREDICTIONS

Let’s round it out with the uncommitted from 101-250

RB Mychale SalahuddinPitt – The Panthers are thin at running back and he could make an immediate impact there and he knows that.

WR Jacob CopelandFlorida – The Gators have a great relationship with Copeland and should keep him home.

LB Merlin RobertsonArizona StateHerm Edwards should address a key position need with this one.

DB Aashari CrosswellArizona State – With his old high school coach at ASU, this should be a slam dunk.

RB Jashaun Corbin Texas A&M – The former Tennessee and Florida State commitment should end up with the Aggies.

LB Dax HolifieldStanford – This is a tough one as he could end up at Virginia Tech, but the lure of Stanford academics seems strong.

UPDATE: As of Tuesday afternoon things seem to be trending to Virginia Tech now with distance becoming a last minute factor.

WR Michael Ezeike USC – The Trojans want a big target in this class and the last weekend official could push them over the top.

DE Jeremiah MartinTexas A&MArizona and Kevin Sumlin made a push, but I still think he ends up with the Aggies.

DB Noah BoykinFlorida – The Gators have been confident with the former Terps commitment for a while now and I don’t see a reason to disagree.

OL Jarrett BellArizona State – Nebraska could be the choice here but something has me thinking he’s going to pick the Sun Devils.

LB Andrew ChatfieldFlorida – Gators feel good here and he didn’t join his teammates at Miami this weekend, according to sources.

RB Tavion Thomas Ohio State – The former Sooners commitment has become a big target for the Buckeyes down the stretch and could be a take even if he ends up at JUCO. If the Buckeyes decide he's not a take, look for Cincinnati here.

UPDATE: It appears Thomas is not a take for Ohio State at this time so Cincinnati looks to be the pick.

ATH Tre'Shaun HarrisonFlorida State – A tough call here as distance is a factor, but if the visit went well this weekend he should re-commit to Taggart, the coach he wanted to play for at Oregon.