Rivals national recruiting analyst Nick Harris, national recruiting director Adam Gorney, Cole Patterson of Orangebloods.com and Ryan Young of DuckSportsAuthority.com tackle three topics and determine whether they believe each statement is FACT or FICTION.

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Harris' take: FACT. In comparing junior season film with some of the top quarterbacks in this class, Oklahoma commit Jackson Arnold jumps off the screen along with some of the top passers in the country that have already earned five-star status. His pocket awareness, off-platform ability, downfield talent and arm strength are all on display from a junior season that saw him lead Denton (Texas) Guyer to a 6A Division II state championship game appearance. While Arnold stayed relatively quiet on the camp front this offseason, the high four-star exploded with a huge performance at Elite 11, earning camp MVP honors. With a strong start to his senior season, it may be time to start putting him in that conversation among the top passers in the country.

Gorney's take: FACT. This is no guarantee, but after his performance at the Elite 11, Arnold is definitely under five-star consideration. After Dante Moore, I thought Arnold was arguably the best quarterback at the event and at least on par with five-star Malachi Nelson, Iowa State pledge JJ Kohl and Clemson commit Chris Vizzina. No one at the Elite 11 had the pop on his passes like Arnold, who is not a major physical presence but delivers the ball with incredible pace and accuracy and has what it takes to be a first-round selection down the road. I was surprised by how much I liked him at the Elite 11 and he will definitely be in the five-star discussions, especially if he has a great senior season and all-star game showing.

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Harris' take: FACT. Look, we all know the Big 12 isn't Oregon's first choice because of monetary reasons. I mean, would anything be happening if money wasn't in the picture? However, there is a big void being left in the new-look Big 12 with Texas and Oklahoma departing to the SEC. With multiple spots figuratively open in the Big 12, Oregon could pounce on the opportunity to enter a conference that wouldn't have a clear powerhouse name while also being able to take advantage of fertile recruiting grounds in Texas even more than the Ducks already are. The path to the College Football Playoff would be a lot easier than if Oregon decided to make the move to the Big Ten or the SEC, but is it the choice that its athletic department will make at the end of the day?

Young's take: FICTION. Whatever the Big 12 becomes is going to be a distant third (and probably still fourth) to the SEC and Big Ten, especially if those two continue to morph into true super conferences. There is no path for the Big 12 to close that gap, even if it absorbs a portion of the Pac-12. Simply adding teams does not impact the equation because it wouldn't change the fact the majority of the perceived national contenders/marquee brands are now in the SEC and Big Ten, with the ACC holding on to the rest for now.

Oregon should be holding out for a spot in the Big Ten, and if that doesn't come, push for a Pac-12 partnership of some sort with the ACC that has been floated out there. But ultimately, it looks like we're headed toward a world where the SEC and Big Ten have a majority leverage in shaping the College Football Playoff, and the best place to be for any program hoping to compete nationally is inside one of those two leagues.

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Harris' take: FACT. As I made my rounds at the Texas State 7-on-7 Tournament a couple of weeks back, no 2023 prospect caught my eye quite like Red Oak (Texas) three-star safety Warren Roberson. His physical profile immediately jumped out from a good 40 yards away when I first spotted him, but as I sat and watched him lock down the defensive backfield for back-to-back games, I'm all of the sudden buying stock in the DFW defensive back. While his personal-best 11-flat in the 100-meter doesn't necessarily jump off the page, his closing speed and range shows up on film enough for me to start considering Roberson in a higher regard.

Patterson's take: FICTION. Roberson is a very good candidate to be the pick for this category. However, there are some other prospects that have my eye. Jamarion Carroll out of Wichita Falls Hirschi has fallen under the radar, but he’s an intriguing wideout with big-play ability. His three-touchdown performance against Stephenville deep in the Texas high school playoffs caught my attention last December. Carroll is a player that has a chance to turn heads this fall. Recent Texas commit Trevor Goosby is another prospect worth mentioning. Goosby is an athletic tackle that has hit a growth spurt this offseason and has some noteworthy bloodlines that point to exciting upside.