Published Feb 26, 2016
Rivals 2016 NFL Mock Draft 1.0
Mike Farrell and Adam Gorney
Rivals.com

In conjunction with the start of the NFL Scouting Combine, Rivals.com is releasing its first mock draft leading up to April’s NFL Draft. Here is a breakdown of each pick from Rivals.com National Recruiting Director Mike Farrell and Rivals.com National Recruiting Analyst Adam Gorney.

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No. 1 Tennessee Titans

Farrell: OT Laremy Tunsil, Ole Miss

The Titans should trade down and add some picks here, but the need for a blindside protector for Marcus Mariota is also key.

Gorney: OT Laremy Tunsil, Ole Miss

Tunsil missed time this season because of an NCAA investigation. That won’t matter. The Titans need somebody to protect Mariota and the former five-star from Ole Miss is by far the best option.

No. 2 Cleveland Browns

Farrell: QB Jared Goff, Cal

It will be interesting to see how Goff and Carson Wentz compete for this, ahem, honor. The guy with the better resume against much better competition wins out.

Gorney: QB Jared Goff, Cal

I don’t care about Goff having small hands because it has never, ever been an issue as he sliced and diced his way to a phenomenal college career. The Browns need a proven quarterback and the four-star from Cal is the best choice.

No. 3 San Diego Chargers

Farrell: DE Joey Bosa, Ohio State

The Chargers need a lot on offense and defense and might be tempted to go OL here with Ronnie Stanley, but that’s a reach and they play it safe with the best pass rusher in the draft.

Gorney: DE Joey Bosa, Ohio State

The Chargers will probably go defense here whether it’s on the line or in the secondary. If it’s at defensive end, it could be Oregon’s DeForest Buckner but I like Bosa, a four-star from Ohio State, more. His motor is off the charts and he could be a superstar.

No. 4 Dallas Cowboys

Farrell: CB Jalen Ramsey, Florida State

This is too high for a guy who could end up as a safety, but the Cowboys need help in the secondary and there isn’t a quarterback or running back up this high they should feel comfortable with.

Gorney: QB Carson Wentz, North Dakota State

If Wentz falls to four, essentially if the Browns choose Goff over him, the Cowboys should gobble him up. Tony Romo can’t be around for much longer – start the celebration Dallas fans – and Wentz could be outstanding. The NDSU QB was phenomenal at the Senior Bowl.

No. 5 Jacksonville Jaguars

Farrell: CB Vernon Hargreaves III, Florida

The Jags likely really wanted Ramsey here and the Cowboys could sucker them into trading up, but if the Cowboys pick Ramsey the Jaguars have to go with another corner and reach on Hargreaves, who is not a top 5 value.

Gorney: DB Jalen Ramsey, Florida State

The knock on Ramsey, a five-star from Florida State, is that no one is sure whether he’s a corner or safety long term. That’s perfect for the Jaguars who need somebody, anybody, in the back end to make plays. If Ramsey is still alive here, Jacksonville grabs him.

No. 6 Baltimore Ravens

Farrell: OL Ronnie Stanley, Notre Dame

A linebacker would be tempting here but the Ravens need offensive line help and after Stanley there is a big drop off in talent.

Gorney: DE DeForest Buckner, Oregon

The Ravens need help and Farrell makes a good point on Stanley, who bolsters the offensive line. But is he tough and mean enough for John Harbaugh? Buckner, a four-star from Oregon, might not be either, but he’s insanely athletic and productive at defensive end.

No. 7 San Francisco 49ers

Farrell: LB Myles Jack, UCLA

Taking Wentz here will be tempting if he’s available as the quarterback situation is a mess, but the 49ers can probably still land a solid quarterback in round two or three and with Stanley gone Jack is next best thing as far as need.

Gorney: LB Myles Jack, UCLA

The 49ers don't look quarterback here because they’re going to pay Colin Kaepernick nearly $12 million next year, though reports surfaced Thursday that Kaeprnick had requested a trade. Jack is coming off injury and won’t be a full participant at the combine. Big deal. The four-star from UCLA runs like a deer and hits like a truck and is versatile in any defense. Take him as soon as possible.

No. 8 Miami Dolphins

Farrell: CB Mackensie Alexander, Clemson

A shocker? Perhaps. The Dolphins would have loved to see Ramsey or Hargreaves fall to them here or Jack, but at this point it’s either reach on an offensive lineman, reach a bit on Reggie Ragland or Jaylon Smith or go for broke at corner where it’s a top heavy group.

Gorney: OT Ronnie Stanley, Notre Dame

If Stanley drops to the Dolphins, they should take him. Miami needs defensive help and there are linebackers on the board, but Stanley, a four-star from Notre Dame, is a skilled offensive tackle who could keep Ryan Tannehill upright and in the pocket.

No. 9 Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Farrell: DE Deforest Buckner, Oregon

The Bucs need a rush end and Buckner is a freak. They are likely hoping he falls to him and will snatch him up quickly.

Gorney: CB Vernon Hargreaves III, Florida

It will be interesting to see what Tampa Bay does if Buckner and Hargreaves are available (unlikely) because the Bucs need help in a lot of places. If the five-star from Florida who is the purest cornerback in this draft is available, swipe him up and figure out the defensive front in free agency.

No. 10 New York Giants

Farrell: DE Shaq Lawson, Clemson

Another elite pass rusher where the need is evident, going on Noah Spence here would be tempting but off field concerns could be too great.

Gorney: DE Shaq Lawson, Clemson

The Giants need help in the defensive front and Lawson is a beast. It could be argued he should be more in the Bosa range, so New York could view this as a steal. The four-star out of Clemson could have an immediate impact.

No. 11 Chicago Bears

Farrell: LB Jaylon Smith, Notre Dame

Despite the injury and the patience the Bears will need to show, Smith would be the pick here with Jack likely gone. They need an outside disrupter, something they haven’t had since Brian Urlacher, and they hope Smith can be that guy.

Gorney: LB Jaylon Smith, Notre Dame

It will be interesting to see if the Bears take someone like Reggie Ragland this high because he’s a sideline-to-sideline playmaker, too, but if Smith is still available then how can you pass him up? He is so long and athletic (seeing him post-injury will be important) but the five-star from Notre Dame should be fine long term.

No. 12 New Orleans Saints

Farrell: DT A’Shawn Robinson, Alabama

The Saints need a ton of help on defense and starting in the middle with an athletic pocket pusher like Robinson isn’t a bad start.

Gorney: CB Mackensie Alexander, Clemson

The Saints need to fix their defense. A lot of people think that means to take an interior defensive lineman but if Alexander, a four-star from Clemson, is available swipe him up. He can shut down one side of the field.

No. 13 Philadelphia Eagles

Farrell: QB Carson Wentz, North Dakota State

The Eagles could be tempted to go offensive line here but the need at quarterback is great and taking a chance on Wentz here is boom or bust but the right thing to do.

Gorney: OT Taylor Decker, Ohio State

Offensive line is a huge issue for the Eagles, so addressing that issue is a priority. My guess is that Decker, a four-star out of Ohio State, has a hugely impressive combine and pro day and moves up a lot of lists. It could be a risk taking him, but Philadelphia needs major help.

No. 14 Oakland Raiders

Farrell: RB Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State

The Raiders had their eye on Alexander and are probably stunned he’s gone, so they take a dynamic back to help an offense that they hope boasts triplets in Derrick Carr, Amani Cooper and now Elliott.

Gorney: CB Kendall Fuller, Virginia Tech

The offense is making strides in Oakland. The defense has not. Fuller, a five-star from Virginia Tech is a smart, skilled cornerback who can help make stops. His knee injury might scare off Oakland this high, but picking up a talented defensive back would be a huge help.

No. 15 Los Angeles Rams

Farrell: QB Paxton Lynch, Memphis

This is the guy they wanted here because they assumed Goff and Wentz would be gone. The quarterback situation with the Rams is awful and Lynch is a project, but he is boom or bust like Wentz and could be a franchise guy.

Gorney: WR Michael Thomas, Ohio State

The Rams don't take Lynch this high and if Goff and Wentz are off the board then receiver makes sense. Thomas will impress at the combine and pro day and he’s a better athlete on the outside than Laquon Treadwell. He could be moving up draft boards soon.

No. 16 Detroit Lions

Farrell: DT Sheldon Rankins, Missouri

Offensive line is a more pressing need but coupling Rankins on the inside with Ziggy Ansah on the outside could be too tempting. Jarran Reed is also available but Rankins could be the guy with Jim Caldwell and his advisors ACC comfort level.

Gorney: DT Robert Nkemdiche, Ole Miss

It seems like the Lions are going to rebuild the interior of the defensive line. Where I’m in the minority is the pick as I think Nkemdiche is going to answer any off-the-field questions and turn in a dynamite performance at the combine and pro day. The former No. 1 overall player is a unique inside/outside talent that cannot be passed up at this point.

No. 17 Atlanta Falcons

Farrell: LB Reggie Ragland, Alabama

An outside guy would be more tempting, but having taken Vic Beasley last year, taking guys like Darron Lee or Leonard Floyd would be risky. Take the best inside linebacker in the draft and help that awful defense.

Gorney: LB Reggie Ragland, Alabama

Atlanta needs playmakers on its defense and Ragland (if he’s not already gone higher in the first round) could be an absolute steal. The former No. 1 inside linebacker and four-star from Alabama proved all year and at the Senior Bowl that he goes sideline-to-sideline and is involved in almost every tackle.

No. 18 Indianapolis Colts

Farrell: OT Taylor Decker, Ohio State

Is there any doubt the Colts want an offensive lineman here after the beating Andrew Luck has taken? Jack Conklin could be the pick as well but I see him as less athletic and more of a future inside guy. Decker didn’t get much better staying in school but he’s big and an outside guy and that’s what they need.

Gorney: OL Jack Conklin, Michigan State

I agree that the Colts need more bodies to protect Luck especially after his injury but Michigan State’s Jack Conklin will still be on the board and will get taken here. I agree with Farrell that he could end up being an inside guy, but he can also play tackle and the Colts will give it a shot.

No. 19 Buffalo Bills

Farrell: DT Robert Nkemdiche, Ole Miss

Logic would say take Conklin or another offensive lineman, but Rex Ryan is a gambler and Nkemdiche is the biggest gamble in the draft. He could be a superstar and franchise player or be a bust, but Rex will roll the dice.

Gorney: DE Noah Spence, Eastern Kentucky

The Bills are getting better but need help on the defensive line and if Spence is still available, then Buffalo should take him. There are major off-the-field questions with the five-star who transferred to Eastern Kentucky from Ohio State so there is a risk in taking Spence but if coach Rex Ryan plays it right, he could have a star on his hands.

No. 20 New York Jets

Farrell: LB Leonard Floyd, Georgia

With a great defensive line, the Jets want to add another weapon and Floyd can be a hybrid guy who can take things to the next level. Ezekiel Elliott would have been nice here, but with him gone look for the Jets to look outside on defense at linebacker.

Gorney: RB Ezekiel Elliott, Ohio State

I’m not sold on Elliott being gone yet, so the Jets could nab him here. Chris Ivory and Bilal Powell had nice seasons with the Jets, but Elliott could be the back of the future and the four-star from Ohio State would be a steal this late in the first round.

No. 21 Washington Redskins

Farrell: DT Jarran Reed, Alabama

With Robinson, Rankins and Nkemdiche gone, Reed is the choice here as help is still needed in the middle on defense and, luckily for the Redskins, this is a deep draft at that position.

Gorney: DT A’Shawn Robinson, Alabama

The thinking here is similar to Farrell but with a different Alabama stud. The Redskins need youth on the defensive line and Robinson is a perfect fit. The former five-star is a difference-maker that Washington needs and they could swipe him up if given the chance.

No. 22 Houston Texans

Farrell: LB Noah Spence, Eastern Kentucky

They wanted one of the three quarterbacks to fall to them here or perhaps Elliott or Decker, but with everyone gone they roll the dice on Spence to play opposite of J.J. Watt and allow Watt to move around the line a bit more. A risky pick, but it could be the home run of the draft.

Gorney: QB Paxton Lynch, Memphis

The Texans were an embarrassment at quarterback last season and if Lynch is on the board, this could be a tremendous pick. There is always free agency or Bill O’Brien’s trust in Penn State’s Christian Hackenberg but if Lynch is available the three-star from Memphis would be hard to pass up.

No. 23 Minnesota Vikings

Farrell: OT Jack Conklin, Michigan State

Conklin could be a right tackle or an elite run-blocking guard and could surprise and play left tackle as well so at a position of need, he’s a versatile choice.

Gorney: OG Cody Whitehair, Kansas State

Whitehair had a strong showing at the Senior Bowl and also proved he could be one of the first offensive guards taken off the board. The play in Minnesota is to protect QB Teddy Bridgewater, the former three-star from Kansas State could be the answer and so this pick makes sense.

No. 24 Cincinnati Bengals

Farrell: WR Laquon Treadwell, Ole Miss

The Bengals were hoping Treadwell would slide this far down and he does and they don’t hesitate on him for a second.

Gorney: WR Corey Coleman, Baylor

Treadwell is still available but I think the Bengals want a speedier receiver to complement that offense and that’s why I picked Coleman here. I could also see TCU’s Josh Doctson as the pick but Coleman, a four-star from Baylor, is the bet I’m making.

No. 25 Pittsburgh Steelers

Farrell: CB Kendall Fuller, Virginia Tech

Eli Apple might be tempting here because he has more size and could play safety worst case scenario and the Steelers need defensive backs. But Fuller is the most talented by far and would have been in the Ramsey, Hargreaves, Alexander area without his injury.

Gorney: CB Eli Apple, Ohio State

With Fuller already off the board, I can see the Steelers taking Eli Apple with this pick. He’s long, rangy and aggressive and should fit the needs of that defense well. The four-star from Ohio State has great ball skills even if he still has room to get better.

No. 26 Seattle Seahawks

Farrell: DT Andrew Billings, Baylor

A bit of a surprise here as Billings is a run stuffer but isn’t an overly athletic guy or a pass rusher, but there is no one more stout in the middle and the Seahawks could use that.

Gorney: DT Sheldon Rankins, Louisville

I’m in the minority thinking that Rankins falls this low in the first round, but I’ll stick with my guns (so far). If he’s available, there’s little doubt the Seahawks wouldn’t snatch up the three-star from Louisville. My thinking is that other defensive tackles like Nkemdiche and Robinson go sooner and Seattle gets a steal.

No. 27 Green Bay Packers

Farrell: DT Kenny Clark, UCLA

Yet another defensive tackle goes in the first round as there is an embarrassment of riches here. The Packers need that inside presence as well as help at linebacker, but the linebackers available don’t bring as much value.

Gorney: WR Laquon Treadwell, Ole Miss

Smart people think Green Bay goes with a defensive lineman here, but if Treadwell is available this late how can the Packers pass him up? Another weapon for QB Aaron Rodgers never hurts and Treadwell’s seeming lack of speed might not be as big of an issue with Randall Cobb in that offense.

No. 28 Kansas City Chiefs

Farrell: DE Kevin Dodd, Clemson

The title game really helped Dodd’s stock rise and having him as a pass-rushing threat opposite Justin Houston is too tempting for the Chiefs as they build their defense.

Gorney: OT Jason Spriggs, Indiana

This is a shot in the dark pick because it seems Kansas City is looking to take a defensive lineman or defensive back here but Spriggs is someone who could shoot up the charts at the combine and at his pro day. He’s a long, athletic, physical former three-star from Indiana who could bolster the Chiefs’ offensive front.

No. 29 Arizona Cardinals

Farrell: OG Cody Whitehair, Kansas State

The Cardinals go offensive line here over a tempting option at wide receiver in Corey Coleman because they want to get more physical and nasty up front. Whitehair fits the bill.

Gorney: DT Jarran Reed, Alabama

The Cardinals are looking to get more physical and nasty up front all right but they’re going to do it on the defensive end. An edge rusher could be the pick but with former three-star Jarran Reed from Alabama still on the board, Arizona cannot pass him up.

No. 30 Carolina Panthers

Farrell: OT Shon Coleman, Auburn

Cam Newton needs protection at tackle, that was clear in the Super Bowl. Coleman is an elite athlete, hails from the same program as Newton and could be a surprise pick here. If so, it will show how much power Newton wields.

Gorney: DE Jonathan Bullard, Florida

There will soon be a need for top defensive linemen in Carolina and this class has a boatload of them. One who will emerge in the coming weeks is this former Florida five-star because he’s an absolute wrecking machine. Clemson’s Kevin Dodd would also be intriguing.

No. 31 Denver Broncos

Farrell: DT Vernon Butler, Louisiana Tech

They could use help along the offensive line, but too many elite guys have gone already and anything else would be a reach. You can’t hurt yourself adding a defensive tackle and Butler could be a steal here.

Gorney: OG Josh Garnett, Stanford

Denver could be searching for an offensive tackle here, but if Peyton Manning comes back the Broncos could be running more and who better to take than a Stanford lineman? Garnett, a former four-star, is smart, physically-punishing and can dominate at times.