Two of the highest-profile jobs in college football were filled over the weekend as Texas hired former Houston coach Tom Herman and LSU took the interim tag off Ed Orgeron and gave him the job.
Here is a look at each program, its advantages and disadvantages, and a verdict on which is the more attractive job.
PROS AND CONS: Herman at Texas | Orgeron at LSU
TEXAS LONGHORNS
What happened: Charlie Strong was fired after three seasons where he accumulated a 16-21 record including losses to West Virginia, Kansas and TCU to finish this season. Strong posted three-straight losing seasons with the Longhorns, the first time that has happened in the program since 1936-38.
Recruiting: The Longhorns are seventh in the Big 12 recruiting rankings with only seven commits. Four-star QB Sam Ehlinger, DE LaGaryonn Carson and WR Damion Miller lead the way. Texas' 2017 class is ranked No. 73 nationally.
Advantages: The first advantage Herman has as a coach is that the Big 12 is a winnable conference. There is no excuse with the abundance of in-state talent alone that the Longhorns cannot return to conference prominence, and become a national player again. Oklahoma and Oklahoma State are the two best teams in the Big 12 this season, along with West Virginia, but Texas has the chance to return to that elite status.
Another major opportunity for Herman is to rebuild Texas into being the program where every in-state kid wants to play. There was a time not long ago that the Longhorns would almost wrap up their entire recruiting class in the spring because it was where every top kid wanted to go. That has not been the case recently and Herman has the chance to make it happen again.
Lastly, two things: Texas has all the money and facilities to become an elite program again and the desire to reach those highest levels in a conference where it could happen quickly. And, secondly, it cannot get worse than it is right now. The Longhorns are staring up from the bottom, after three disastrous seasons, and Herman could absolutely be the right choice to make Texas a national power again.
Disadvantages: The Big 12 is a devalued conference especially when competing against SEC powers for in-state talent. Top in-state talent such as five-stars Marvin Wilson, Baron Browning, Jeffrey Okudah and Walker Little are all seriously considering going to the Big Ten, ACC, SEC or Pac-12. Three of the top seven players in the state are committed but to LSU, Notre Dame and Ohio State. Oklahoma has two top 10 commits from the state of Texas. That’s a recruiting challenge Herman has to address immediately.
Another concern for Herman and his new staff is the question of whether Texas still has that cachet and elite status it once did with top prospects. Since the end of the Mack Brown era and certainly during Strong’s tenure, the Longhorns’ brand name simply doesn’t carry the weight it once did. That has to do with average recruiting and terrible on-field performance. It can be changed but it’s going to take work.
The last disadvantage is a conference-wide problem that Texas needs to deal with and that’s the fact that the Big 12 is considered the lesser of the Power Five conferences. Everything needs to fall perfectly into place, not necessarily an undefeated season but pretty close, for a Big 12 team to make the College Football Playoff. It probably won’t happen this season, which certainly doesn’t help the conference brand.
LSU TIGERS
What happened: After a 2-2 start to the season, coach Les Miles was fired. Ed Orgeron was named interim coach and he finished the regular season with a 5-2 record with losses to Alabama and Florida, the two teams playing in the SEC Championship. The interim tag was removed after a confusing 24 hours where reports surfaced that Herman might take the job but decided on Texas.
Recruiting: The Tigers rank sixth nationally in the team recruiting rankings, led by five-star defensive tackle Tyler Shelvin and nine four-stars including OL Austin Deculus and DB JaCoby Stevens. LSU's 2017 class ranks fourth in the SEC behind Alabama, Georgia and Texas A&M.
Advantages: According to Rivals.com National Recruiting Director Mike Farrell, LSU has the best in-state recruiting advantage in the country, able to lock down almost all the top players from Louisiana and, as Farrell said, “they’re the only game in town.” Orgeron is a tremendous recruiter anyway so he could further lock down the state, which would be huge.
Another positive for Orgeron is that LSU has a tremendous brand name. The Tigers won national titles under Miles and former coach Nick Saban so being on the national stage is not a distant thing of the past. Actually, in Baton Rouge it’s expected that LSU be in the national conversation nearly every season.
Playing in the SEC West is a tremendous draw for top prospects because it’s so highly competitive and many recruiting battles come down to teams in that division alone. Pros come out of that division every single season and that is a big-time advantage for Orgeron and his staff. Plus, the rabid fan base and incredible atmosphere for LSU home games are also big selling points that will continue in Orgeron’s regime.
Disadvantages: The first disadvantage is a major one, and one that doesn’t seem to be disappearing any time soon: Saban’s Alabama team is clearly the best team in college football and beating the Crimson Tide is a must to reach the College Football Playoff. That is no easy task – especially since the Tigers haven’t bested the Crimson Tide since 2011.
Another concern to consider is the changing recruiting landscape with Texas also hiring Herman, the hottest young coach in the business. Going into Texas for top prospects could become much more difficult especially if the Longhorns start winning again. The reverse could also happen – Herman could attempt to raid some top Louisiana talent and Alabama isn’t going to stop trying to come into the state.
THE VERDICT: TEXAS
According to reports, Herman could have had the LSU job if he wanted it but he chose Texas instead. It makes sense. The former Houston coach has extensive coaching ties in the state including a GA stint with the Longhorns.
Both Texas and LSU have advantages and disadvantages, so did Herman do the right thing by taking over the beleaguered Texas program?
“He took the right job,” Farrell said. “He should have gone to Texas. He’s a Texas guy. That’s where he got his start.
“It’s a clearer path to the national championship, without a doubt. If Nick Saban didn’t exist, if Alabama wasn’t a dynasty, I would take LSU but right now Texas is probably the right choice. The right coach there could win the weakest conference in the Power Five and go on to a national championship.”